Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.000249 0.000279 0.000311 0.000349 0.000392 0.000439 0.000494
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.000189 0.000230 0.000280 0.000342 0.000419 0.000513 0.000635
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.000156 0.000202 0.000261 0.000341 0.000447 0.000586 0.000781
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.000131 0.000179 0.000242 0.000334 0.000463 0.000641 0.000908
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.000116 0.000166 0.000234 0.000338 0.000492 0.000715 0.001069
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.000105 0.000155 0.000227 0.000341 0.000518 0.000787 0.001234
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.000091 0.000138 0.000209 0.000326 0.000514 0.000811 0.001329
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.000083 0.000130 0.000203 0.000327 0.000535 0.000877 0.001498
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.000079 0.000128 0.000205 0.000341 0.000578 0.000983 0.001750
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.000071 0.000118 0.000195 0.000334 0.000584 0.001026 0.001893
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.000063 0.000107 0.000181 0.000318 0.000572 0.001034 0.001974
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.000059 0.000103 0.000178 0.000321 0.000594 0.001108 0.002189
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000057 0.000102 0.000181 0.000335 0.000640 0.001235 0.002537
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000052 0.000095 0.000173 0.000330 0.000649 0.001290 0.002746
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000049 0.000090 0.000168 0.000329 0.000666 0.001365 0.003010
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000045 0.000085 0.000161 0.000323 0.000670 0.001413 0.003221
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000042 0.000082 0.000159 0.000327 0.000697 0.001514 0.003571
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000040 0.000079 0.000157 0.000329 0.000721 0.001612 0.003930
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000036 0.000073 0.000147 0.000315 0.000705 0.001614 0.004050
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000034 0.000070 0.000144 0.000316 0.000726 0.001708 0.004422
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.000034 0.000070 0.000147 0.000330 0.000778 0.001882 0.005043
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.000031 0.000066 0.000141 0.000323 0.000778 0.001929 0.005318
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.000028 0.000061 0.000132 0.000308 0.000755 0.001913 0.005409